Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)


	Alcorcón		Linense

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.75
	1.8	3	4.33
	1.75	3.15	4.5
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.83	3.18	4.87
	1.83	3.13	4.8
	1.87	3.05	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.69)	3.07 ↓ (3.3)	4.54 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
50.2%

Draw
29.7%

Linense
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

27.7%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

27.4%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Linense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Alcorcón - Linense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 9).

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Linense in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Linense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alcorcón is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.01.23	Badajoz - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
14.01.23	Alcorcón - Deportivo A Coruña	3:1 ✺
08.01.23	Mérida AD - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
20.12.22	Alcorcón - Cartagena	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.12.22	Ferrol - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWLW
- Real Balompedica Linense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.01.23	Linense - Pontevedra	3:0 ✺
15.01.23	Córdoba - Linense	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Linense - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.23	Winterthur - Linense	0:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.12.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Linense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.09.22	Linense - Alcorcón	1:2

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