Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Romano Jose Fouto (Mérida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana, Footballclub


	Mérida AD		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.20	2.05
	3.20	3.10	2.05
	3.05	2.88	2.25
	3.16	3.30	2.18
	3.09	3.21	2.3	Watch
	3.10	3.25	2.15
	3.33	3.33	2.14
	3.20	3.10	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.44)	3.17 ↓ (3.25)	2.15 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
28.8%

Draw
28.7%

Mirandés
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.6%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mérida AD's form might have worsened.

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirandés's recent form is better than expected.

Mérida AD - Mirandés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Csenterics A. (G) 2. Jay A. 4. Gonzalez Nacho 16. Fito 5. Sanz H. 21. Beneit R. (C) 8. Solar M. 7. Areso J. 17. Guagua D. 6. Lopez J. 11. El Ftouhi S.	1. Ruiz J. (G) 22. Aguirregabiria M. 21. Arambarri A. 5. Rodriguez P. 3. Arrillaga H. 16. Lozano M. (C) 8. Martinez R. 19. Riki 9. Unzueta I. 7. de la Iglesia D. 11. Uzkudun A.
Substitutes
20. Barbu 14. Carrillo H. 18. Dibrani B. 26. Gil A. (G) 9. Hallsson S. 13. Juhasz I. (G) 24. Kone 19. Sandoval D.	14. Auria M. 13. Badia E. (G) 23. Dorrio J. 10. Espinosa N. 26. Martinez Landa J. 4. Navarro C. 15. Pedernales I. 17. Perez P. 18. Rodri 20. Rodrigo Tapia A. 6. Verde A. 31. Zango A. (G)
Coaches
Beltran F.	Muneta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', Sanz H. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, El Ftouhi S. ⚽, Jay A. (A),
32', 2 - 0, Jay A. ⚽, Guagua D. (A),
41', 2 - 1, Lozano M. ⚽, Arrillaga H. (A),
43', 2 - 2, Unzueta I. ⚽, Arrillaga H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', de la Iglesia D. ↓, Dorrio J. ↑,
57', Uzkudun A. 🟨,
59', Arrillaga H. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
60', Martinez R. 🟨,
67', Lopez J. 🟨,
69', El Ftouhi S. ↓, Kone ↑,
69', Guagua D. ↓, Dibrani B. ↑,
71', Martinez R. ↓, Verde A. ↑,
71', Uzkudun A. ↓, Rodri ↑,
75', 3 - 2, Lopez J. ⚽,
77', Sanz H. ↓, Carrillo H. ↑,
77', Areso J. ↓, Sandoval D. ↑,
80', Solar M. 🟥,
85', Rodriguez P. ↓, Martinez Landa J. ↑,
87', 3 - 3, Martinez Landa J. ⚽, Riki (A),
88', Lopez J. ↓, Barbu ↑,
90+1', Gonzalez Nacho 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 4, Unzueta I. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Lozano M. 🟨,

Preview

Mirandés has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mirandés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Mirandés has had a series of away games.

Mirandés might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Mirandes	6	3	1	2	9:7	2	10
14	AD Merida	6	2	0	4	9:11	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Mérida AD - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.09%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.09.26	Leonesa - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Mérida AD - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Mérida AD - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Mérida AD - Betis B	2:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.05.26	Osasuna B - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWLW
- CD Mirandés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.09.26	Mirandés - UD Ourense	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Cacereño - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.26	UD Logroñés - Mirandés	4:0 ✺
19.08.26	La Calzada - Mirandés	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Barakaldo - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLWL

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