Match Info

Date: 23 January 2022, Sunday


	Mérida AD		Panadería Pulido

	1	X	2
	1.37	4	7.75
	1.35	4.2	7
	1.44	3.9	6.2
	1.45	4.02	8.1
	1.44	4.1	6.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.3)	4.04 ↓ (4.85)	7.2 ↓ (9.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
64.7%

Draw
22.6%

Panadería Pulido
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.1%

19.1%

9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.4%

17.1%

8.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mérida AD's form might have worsened.

Panadería Pulido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mérida AD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panadería Pulido than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Mérida AD - Panadería Pulido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Mérida AD is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Panadería has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Panadería could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mérida AD is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.01.22	Mérida AD - Las Palmas B	2:0 ✺
19.12.21	Montijo - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
12.12.21	Villanovense - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
05.12.21	Mérida AD - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
27.11.21	Córdoba - Mérida AD	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL
- CF Panadería Pulido
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.01.22	Panadería Pulido - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
09.01.22	Villanovense - Panadería Pulido	6:0 ✺
18.12.21	Panadería Pulido - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
12.12.21	Córdoba - Panadería Pulido	4:0 ✺
05.12.21	Panadería Pulido - San Roque de Lepe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.09.21	Panadería Pulido - Mérida AD	1:3

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