Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday


	Panadería Pulido		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.87	2.2
	3.6	3.1	1.95
	3.2	3	2.14
	3.78	2.93	2.18
	3.6	3.2	1.9
	3.42	3.2	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↓ (3.61)	3.05 ↓ (3.13)	2.08 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panadería Pulido
26.3%

Draw
29.9%

Cacereño
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

28.6%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

22.2%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panadería Pulido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panadería Pulido than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Panadería Pulido that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cacereño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Panadería Pulido - Cacereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Panadería is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cacereño is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Cacereño have a series of home games.

Cacereño will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Panadería Pulido
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.12.21	Córdoba - Panadería Pulido	4:0 ✺
05.12.21	Panadería Pulido - San Roque de Lepe	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	Panadería Pulido - Real Sociedad	0:4 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.11.21	Antequera - Panadería Pulido	1:2 ✺
14.11.21	UD San Fernando - Panadería Pulido	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLLWL
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.12.21	Cacereño - Las Palmas B	3:2 ✺
05.12.21	Mérida AD - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	Cacereño - Ponferradina	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.11.21	Cacereño - Villanovense	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Cacereño - Montijo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLLW

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