Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Romano (Mérida)


	Mérida AD		Rayo Majadahonda

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.25	3	2.9
	2.15	3	3.25
	2.2	3.05	3.05
	2.23	3.14	3.44
	1.88	3.1	4
	2.2	3.13	3.14
	2.22	3.1	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.07)	3.08 ↑ (3)	3.23 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
42.1%

Draw
29.6%

Rayo Majadahonda
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

30.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

29.3%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Rayo Majadahonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Mérida AD - Rayo Majadahonda Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mérida AD will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Rayo Majadahonda will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Mérida AD is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rayo Majadahonda is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Mérida AD is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.11.22	Ferrol - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Mérida AD - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Utebo - Mérida AD	2:3 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.11.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Mérida AD - Algeciras	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWLT
- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.11.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Celta de Vigo B - Rayo Majadahonda	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Rayo Majadahonda	3:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.11.22	Leonesa - Rayo Majadahonda	1:3 ✺
30.10.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Linares Deportivo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.04.21	Mérida AD - Rayo Majadahonda	1:1
03.04.21	Rayo Majadahonda - Mérida AD	2:1

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