Match Info

TUNISIA: Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 10

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Metlaoui Municipal stadium (Metlaoui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Métlaoui		EGS Gafsa

	1	X	2
	1.66	3	5.25
	1.67	3.1	5.6
	1.7	3.09	5.68
	1.69	3.07	5.84	Watch
	1.62	3.1	5.8
	1.66	3.1	5.76
	1.67	3.1	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.63)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	5.65 ↓ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Métlaoui
54.5%

Draw
29.5%

EGS Gafsa
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

28.6%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

28.2%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Métlaoui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

EGS Gafsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Métlaoui than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EGS Gafsa than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Métlaoui - EGS Gafsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abdelmouhib C. (G) 5. Arfaoui Y. 19. Bodian C. 9. Bouassida A. 7. Helal H. 4. Khelifa M. H. 26. Knaissi A. 11. Lingazou S. 30. Mazhoud A. 12. Mhamdi H. 14. Stori A.	13. Frioui A. (G) 23. Agbre N. 12. Ajmani A. 8. Ben Chaieb H. 9. Ben Hassine F. 4. Chabbi A. 19. Horchani A. (C) 10. Mbarek H. 15. Mejri S. 25. Traore A. 26. Yasser T.
Substitutes
23. Aouadi C. 27. Ben C. H. (G) 29. Diame M. 28. Faleh M. 10. Hajji B. 31. Hermes I. 3. Jelassi M. 17. Masinja H. 20. Sylla B. N.	17. Al Omrani A. 28. Bangoura A. 6. Barbati A. 34. Ben Rebha R. (G) 27. Chaabani B. 5. Chokri A. 7. Jouini A. 30. Khedher N. . Mbarek H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Yasser T. ⚽,
41', Yasser T. 🟨,
43', Horchani A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lingazou S. ↓, Faleh M. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Bodian C. ⚽,
61', Mbarek H. ↓, Barbati A. ↑,
65', Faleh M. 🟨,
69', 2 - 1, Bouassida A. ⚽,
74', Ben Hassine F. ↓, Al Omrani A. ↑,
74', Yasser T. ↓, Jouini A. ↑,
75', Bouassida A. ↓, Hermes I. ↑,
79', Chabbi A. 🟨,
85', Knaissi A. ↓, Hajji B. ↑,
89', Horchani A. ↓, Bangoura A. ↑,
90+1', Mhamdi H. ↓, Aouadi C. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Métlaoui won 1.

Recent matches Métlaoui is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gafsa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Métlaoui could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Métlaoui is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Métlaoui won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 0.9:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Métlaoui won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Métlaoui
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
23.11.24	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane - Métlaoui	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Métlaoui - Ben Guerdane	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Gabès - Métlaoui	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Métlaoui - Étoile du Sahel	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Bizertin - Métlaoui	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTLTT
- EGS Gafsa
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
24.11.24	EGS Gafsa - Stade Tunisien	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Soliman - EGS Gafsa	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	EGS Gafsa - Tataouine	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Monastir - EGS Gafsa	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	EGS Gafsa - Olympique Béja	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
01.06.24	Métlaoui - EGS Gafsa	1:1
09.03.24	EGS Gafsa - Métlaoui	1:0
13.03.16	EGS Gafsa - Métlaoui	2:2
13.10.15	Métlaoui - EGS Gafsa	1:0
18.02.15	Métlaoui - EGS Gafsa	1:2
20.08.14	EGS Gafsa - Métlaoui	2:2
09.02.14	EGS Gafsa - Métlaoui	0:0

Métlaoui - EGS Gafsa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide