Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 12Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
México |
|
Galapagar |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.58 |
3.05 |
2.52 |
|
 |
2.63 |
2.83 |
2.87 |
 Watch |
 |
2.54 |
3 |
2.59 |
|
 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.36) |
3.02 ↓
(3.35) |
2.65
(2.65) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
México
35.5% | Draw
30.1% | Galapagar
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
México has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Galapagar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for México than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (-0.5%)México - Galapagar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 72', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).México has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Galapagar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, México won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).Including home match between the teams, México won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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