Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 17

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	México		Leganés B

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.2	1.75
	4.69	3.3	1.75	Watch
	4.5	3.25	1.73
	4.7	3.55	1.74
	4.75	3.5	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (4.01)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

México
19.9%

Draw
27.1%

Leganés B
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

27.8%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

28.8%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

México has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Leganés B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for México than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés B than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

México - Leganés B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Leganés B (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leganés B (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 🟥,
89', 0 - 1, Rodriguez G. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

México is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Leganés B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Leganés B is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, México won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, México won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Leganes B	5	2	1	2	9:6	3	7
14	Mexico FC	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- México FC Spain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.01.26	Trival Valderas - México	2:3 ✺
20.12.25	México - Torrejón	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Parla - México	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	México - Alcorcón B	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	México - Galapagar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLWWW
- Leganés B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
03.01.26	Leganés B - Tres Cantos	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Carabanchel - Leganés B	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Leganés B - Móstoles URJC	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	San Sebastian Reyes B - Leganés B	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Leganés B - Racing Madrid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
18.01.25	México - Leganés B	1:2

México - Leganés B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide