Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Trival Valderas		México

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.08	3.2	3.1
	2.55	2.79	3.03	Watch
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.15	3.14	3.15
	2.14	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.12)	3.06 ↓ (3.25)	3.11 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trival Valderas
41.3%

Draw
29.6%

México
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

28.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trival Valderas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

México has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for México than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Trival Valderas - México Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Merchan G. ⚽,
19', 2 - 1, ⚽,
40', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Trival Valderas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Trival Valderas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Trival Valderas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Trival Valderas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Trival Valderas	5	3	2	0	8:4	4	11
14	Mexico FC	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Trival Valderas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.12.25	Tres Cantos - Trival Valderas	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Trival Valderas - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Trival Valderas - San Sebastian Reyes B	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Racing Madrid - Trival Valderas	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLTW
- México FC Spain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
20.12.25	México - Torrejón	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Parla - México	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	México - Alcorcón B	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	México - Galapagar	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Tres Cantos - México	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.04.25	México - Trival Valderas	1:2
24.11.24	Trival Valderas - México	1:2

Trival Valderas - México: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide