Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 3

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	11:00	TVC Deportes


	México		Unión Adarve

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.3
	2.9	3.12	2.27
	2.95	3.17	2.31	Watch
	2.8	3.05	2.2
	3.05	3.1	2.28
	2.9	3.2	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.38)	3.11 ↓ (3.2)	2.27 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

México
31.1%

Draw
29.1%

Unión Adarve
39.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.5%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

México has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that México's form might have worsened.

Unión Adarve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Adarve's recent form is better than expected.

México - Unión Adarve Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, México has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.

Specifically in home fixtures for México against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Union Adarve	8	3	4	1	13:10	3	13
16	Mexico FC	8	1	3	4	12:15	-3	6

Last Results with these Odds

México - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.33%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- México FC Spain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
13.09.26	Torrejón - México	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	México - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	México - Parla	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Alcorcón B - México	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Galapagar - México	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTTTW
- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
13.09.26	Unión Adarve - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - Unión Adarve	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.26	Marchamalo - Unión Adarve	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Unión Adarve - Getafe B	2:2 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.05.26	Unión Adarve - Racing Madrid	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.02.26	México - Unión Adarve	1:0

México - Unión Adarve