Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 29Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday
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Galapagar |
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México |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3.05 |
2.98 |
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 |
2.25 |
3.22 |
3.03 |
|
 |
2.24 |
3.22 |
3.04 |
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2.2 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
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 |
2.23 |
3.08 |
3.06 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(1.97) |
3.09 ↓
(3.2) |
3.04 ↓
(3.74) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Galapagar
40.8% | Draw
29.3% | México
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Galapagar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Galapagar's form might have worsened.México has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting México's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Galapagar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for México than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for México, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Galapagar - México Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Heranz J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 51', 1 - 2, Heranz J. ⚽,
- 64', Gallardo S. 🟥,
- 90+6', 1 - 3, Munoz I. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 12).Recent performances by Galapagar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).México is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). Galapagar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Galapagar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).Including home match between the teams, Galapagar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Galapagar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 8 |
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| 14 | Mexico FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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