Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 34

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Unión Adarve		Racing Madrid

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	4.65
	1.28	4.44	13.88	Watch
	1.63	3.55	4.84
	1.67	3.55	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.58)	3.79 ↑ (3.4)	6.99 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Adarve
61.3%

Draw
25.1%

Racing Madrid
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

25.5%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

22.6%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Adarve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Adarve's performance.

Racing Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Madrid than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Unión Adarve - Racing Madrid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Franco D. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
57', 2 - 0, Caceres J. G. ⚽,
61', 3 - 0, Kosty ⚽,
69', 4 - 0, Criado H. (Own goal),
83', 5 - 0, Ogando J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Unión Adarve is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Racing Madrid has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Unión Adarve is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Unión Adarve won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Union Adarve	5	1	3	1	6:8	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
03.05.26	Las Rozas - Unión Adarve	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Unión Adarve - Villaverde San Andrés	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Atlético Madrid C - Unión Adarve	3:0 ✺
02.04.26	Unión Adarve - Siello	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Unión Adarve	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLWT
- Racing Madrid
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
03.05.26	Racing Madrid - Villaverde San Andrés	0:4 ✺
25.04.26	Atlético Madrid C - Racing Madrid	5:1 ✺
19.04.26	Racing Madrid - Siello	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Racing Madrid	4:1 ✺
03.04.26	Racing Madrid - Leganés B	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.01.26	Racing Madrid - Unión Adarve	3:1

Unión Adarve - Racing Madrid: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide