Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday


	Móstoles URJC		El Álamo

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.2
	1.73	2.7	5
	1.73	2.95	5.2
	1.78	2.94	5.75
	1.76	3.42	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.69)	3 ↓ (3.6)	4.91 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Móstoles URJC
51.4%

Draw
30.1%

El Álamo
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

25%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

16.2%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

El Álamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Móstoles URJC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Álamo than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Álamo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Móstoles URJC - El Álamo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 7 (Promotion Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 7 (Second stage)).

Móstoles URJC is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches El Álamo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Móstoles URJC is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Móstoles URJC won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Móstoles URJC won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
29.11.20	Leganés B - Móstoles URJC	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Móstoles URJC - Carabanchel	2:0 ✺
01.11.20	Móstoles URJC - Parla	1:1 ✺
25.10.20	Atlético Pinto - Móstoles URJC	0:1 ✺
18.10.20	Móstoles URJC - Real Aranjuez	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWTWT
- CD El Álamo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
29.11.20	El Álamo - Trival Valderas	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Parla - El Álamo	2:1 ✺
15.11.20	El Álamo - Atlético Pinto	2:0 ✺
08.11.20	Real Aranjuez - El Álamo	3:2 ✺
01.11.20	El Álamo - Villaverde San Andrés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.12.19	Móstoles URJC - El Álamo	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
21.01.18	Móstoles URJC - El Álamo	2:0
27.08.17	El Álamo - Móstoles URJC	0:3

Upcoming Matches