Match Info

Date: 23 February 2021, Tuesday


	MC Alger		Espérance ST

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.3	Watch
	2.95	2.7	2.5
	3.1	2.7	2.4	Watch
	2.95	2.85	2.38
	3.33	2.83	2.55
	3	2.9	2.45	Watch
	2.9	3.04	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.43)	2.83 ↓ (3.07)	2.43 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MC Alger
30.1%

Draw
32.3%

Espérance ST
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.6%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

21.3%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MC Alger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MC Alger's form might have worsened.

Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MC Alger than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Espérance ST could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

MC Alger - Espérance ST Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

MC Alger is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Espérance ST is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

MC Alger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MC Alger
CAF Champions League
12.02.21	Zamalek - MC Alger	0:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
03.02.21	Saoura - MC Alger	1:0 ✺
30.01.21	MC Alger - Biskra	1:1 ✺
26.01.21	Tlemcen - MC Alger	1:0 ✺
22.01.21	MC Alger - Aïn Mlila	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTLT
- Espérance ST
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
17.02.21	JS Kairouan - Espérance ST	0:3 ✺
CAF Champions League
13.02.21	Espérance ST - Teungueth	2:1 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
07.02.21	Métlaoui - Espérance ST	1:2 ✺
03.02.21	Espérance ST - Bizertin	1:0 ✺
31.01.21	Espérance ST - Club Africain	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW

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