Match Info

BELARUS: Pershaya Liga - Round 18

Date: 5 August 2024, Monday

Location: Vitebsk CSK (Vitebsk)


	ML Vitebsk		Lokomotiv Gomel

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.1	4.2
	1.56	3.95	3.9
	1.65	4.3	4.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.59)	4.12 ↑ (4.12)	4.12 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ML Vitebsk
56.4%

Draw
21.8%

Lokomotiv Gomel
21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for ML Vitebsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Lokomotiv Gomel have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Gomel than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Vitebsk - Lokomotiv Gomel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Shcherbachenya P. (G) 23. Balanovich S. 19. Bruy A. 5. Chuduk A. 10. Khachaturyan A. (C) 88. Kirilenko K. 45. Kozlovskiy D. 7. Mazurich A. 70. Pukhov T. 61. Stavpets A. 18. Zhuk V.	88. Ryzhchenko A. (G) 27. Azerskiy E. 44. Izhakovskiy S. 55. Kaplunov D. 77. Khvastukhin K. 22. Kirko I. 10. Krivosheev D. 33. Malitskiy K. 9. Markov P. 97. Muzychenko Y. 8. Zhestkin I. (C)
Substitutes
15. Alshanik A. 2. Bara Y. 9. Bolvan A. 17. Ivanov N. 3. Kostomarov N. 1. Kudin A. (G) 11. Omelyanchuk M.	89. Emelyanov D. 1. Ginko A. (G) 11. Krivorot S. 25. Kuzmenok I. 21. Milevskiy E. 7. Starostenko N. 99. Telepnev E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Stavpets A. ⚽, Mazurich A. (A),
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Mazurich A. ⚽,
84', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
90', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

Maxline in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Lokomotiv Gomel is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maxline could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Maxline have a series of home games.

Recently Lokomotiv Gomel have a series of guest games.

In this match Maxline is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Maxline to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maxline won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Maxline won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ML Vitebsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
01.08.24	ML Vitebsk - BATE 2	1:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
27.07.24	Slavia Mozyr - ML Vitebsk	0:2 ET ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
21.07.24	ML Vitebsk - Ostrovets	3:1 ✺
Belarusian Cup
14.07.24	ML Vitebsk - Naftan	2:1 ET ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
07.07.24	Molodechno - ML Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL
- Lokomotiv Gomel
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
01.08.24	Niva Dolbizno - Lokomotiv Gomel	2:0 ✺
19.07.24	Torpedo-BelAZ 2 - Lokomotiv Gomel	1:3 ✺
06.07.24	Lokomotiv Gomel - Belshina	0:2 ✺
29.06.24	BumProm Gomel - Lokomotiv Gomel	0:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
18.06.24	Lokomotiv Gomel - Isloch Minsk	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
07.04.24	Lokomotiv Gomel - ML Vitebsk	0:3
18.11.23	ML Vitebsk - Lokomotiv Gomel	4:0
16.07.23	Lokomotiv Gomel - ML Vitebsk	4:1
28.08.22	Lokomotiv Gomel - ML Vitebsk	2:1

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