Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 25

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Lokomotiv Stadium (Gomel)


	Lokomotiv Gomel		Belshina

	1	X	2
	2.47	3.6	2.34
	2.5	3.25	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.6)	3.43 ↑ (3.3)	2.38 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Gomel
36.1%

Draw
26.2%

Belshina
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

27.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

27.1%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Belshina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Gomel than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belshina than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Prishivalko P. (G) 77. Drozdovich A. 5. Kovsh K. 99. Kozlov I. 21. Milevskiy E. 97. Muzychenko Y. 17. Myzgin V. 8. Puzach A. 22. Shevchenko P. 7. Smaltser A. 9. Sychev V.	54. Patsenko N. (G) 7. Achapovskiy A. 8. Balbukh V. 88. Dubovskiy P. 21. Golub N. 78. Kovalevich V. 3. Kuchinskiy A. 44. Shestilovskiy S. 19. Sokolovskiy N. 17. Vikhrov I. 77. Zimin A.
Substitutes
30. Davidovich A. 93. Isachenko E. (G) 24. Katsynel M. 55. Lazarchik S. 2. Nizhnik D. 33. Stroychuk A. 25. Tikhomirov D.	66. Bolotnikov V. 11. Chernodarov A. 14. Drapeza V. 35. Frolov I. (G) 22. Kabachevskiy V. 10. Kozlov Y. 99. Kulikov D. 5. Seleznev P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Dubovskiy P. ⚽,
25', 🟨,
37', 🟨,
39', Kovsh K. 🟨,
41', 0 - 2, Vikhrov I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 2, Myzgin V. ⚽, Sychev V. (A),
88', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Gomel won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Gomel won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Gomel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Gomel
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
13.09.25	Slonim - Lokomotiv Gomel	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Orsha	4:0 ✺
30.08.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Lida	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Minsk 2 - Lokomotiv Gomel	1:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
19.08.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Dinamo Minsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLL
- Belshina Bobruisk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
12.09.25	Belshina - Lida	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Minsk 2 - Belshina	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Belshina - Ostrovets	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Volna Pinsk - Belshina	3:3 ✺
16.08.25	Belshina - Gomel 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
02.11.24	Belshina - Lokomotiv Gomel	2:1
06.07.24	Lokomotiv Gomel - Belshina	0:2
06.11.21	Belshina - Lokomotiv Gomel	4:2
20.08.21	Lokomotiv Gomel - Belshina	2:3
05.06.21	Belshina - Lokomotiv Gomel	1:1
07.09.19	Lokomotiv Gomel - Belshina	0:1
05.05.19	Belshina - Lokomotiv Gomel	3:0

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