Match Info

Ligat ha'Al - Relegation Group - Round 32

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Yud-Alef Stadium (Ashdod)

Referee: Levi S. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 3


	MS Ashdod		Hapoel Jerusalem

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.6	Watch
	2.52	3.25	2.58	Watch
	2.7	3.34	2.7
	2.6	3.31	2.65	Watch
	2.58	3.28	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.61)	3.24 ↓ (3.39)	2.62 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MS Ashdod
35.8%

Draw
28.8%

Hapoel Jerusalem
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

27.6%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

26.9%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for MS Ashdod have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Hapoel Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MS Ashdod than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

MS Ashdod - Hapoel Jerusalem Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ashdod will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Hapoel Jerusalem will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Niemczycki K. (G) 2. Cohen A. 3. Diakite I. 4. Awany T. (C) 94. Mendy A. 26. Kimvuidi K. 14. Muche N. 6. Ochayi V. 23. Azo O. N. 7. Dabush N. 13. Ansah E.	55. Zamir N. (G) 22. Haimovich T. 4. Laish Y. 3. Malmud N. 26. Shalom H. 24. Badash G. (C) 13. Otomewo J. 7. Hozez M. 19. Vrasana N. 33. Dappa I. 17. Distelfeld Y. A.
Substitutes
87. Amer M. 21. Gethon E. 28. Hajaj I. 9. Harush S. 1. Karmi R. (G) 20. Tal R. 10. Tamam I. 16. Yashilirmak M.	77. Almagor O. 66. Domgjoni D. 2. Eliyahu I. 28. Gordin Anbary B. (G) 8. Madmon I. 20. Nadir O. 9. Rakonjac M. 30. Ransom I. 10. Sotiriou R.
Coaches
Mimer S.	Zada L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Diakite I. 🟨,
13', Azo O. N. 🟨,
33', Vrasana N. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Hozez M. ⚽, Distelfeld Y. A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Azo O. N. ↓, Gethon E. ↑,
46', Vrasana N. ↓, Almagor O. ↑,
57', Dappa I. ↓, Rakonjac M. ↑,
61', Cohen A. ↓, Amer M. ↑,
61', Ochayi V. ↓, Harush S. ↑,
68', Harush S. 🟨,
70', Muche N. ↓, Tamam I. ↑,
72', Badash G. ↓, Domgjoni D. ↑,
84', Mendy A. ↓, Hajaj I. ↑,
88', Hozez M. ↓, Ransom I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ashdod won 1.

Ashdod is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hapoel Jerusalem's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hapoel Jerusalem may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Ashdod: Ben Zaken T. (Knee Injury) Bitton N. (Inactive) Hakmon S. (Heart Problems) Levi A. (Knee Injury) Tamam I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Hapoel Jerusalem: Agvadish O. (Inactive) Farada A. (Inactive) Madmon I. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ashdod won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ashdod won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Hapoel Jerusalem	5	2	1	2	12:12	0	7

Last Results with these Odds

MS Ashdod - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.8%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Hapoel Jerusalem - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.64%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MS Ashdod
Israeli Ligat haAl
10.05.26	Hapoel Haifa - MS Ashdod	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	MS Ashdod - Ironi Tiberias	0:3 ✺
28.04.26	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - MS Ashdod	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	MS Ashdod - Maccabi Bnei Raina	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Maccabi Netanya - MS Ashdod	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL
- Hapoel Jerusalem
Israeli Ligat haAl
10.05.26	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Maccabi Netanya - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Jerusalem	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Haifa	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Jerusalem	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
13.12.25	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Jerusalem	0:2
23.08.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - MS Ashdod	1:2
Israeli Toto Cup
22.07.25	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:2
Israeli Ligat haAl
29.03.25	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:1
25.01.25	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:1
20.10.24	Hapoel Jerusalem - MS Ashdod	1:0
Israeli Toto Cup
28.07.24	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Jerusalem	2:4

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