Match Info

Ligat ha'Al - Relegation Group - Round 30

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Yud-Alef Stadium (Ashdod)

Referee: Laibuvitz G. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 1


	MS Ashdod		Ironi Tiberias

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2	3.3	3.25
	2.02	3.35	3.3	Watch
	2.12	3.34	3.63
	2.06	3.39	3.52	Watch
	2.07	3.28	3.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.99)	3.33 ↓ (3.49)	3.41 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MS Ashdod
45.3%

Draw
27.7%

Ironi Tiberias
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

26.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

26.9%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MS Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ironi Tiberias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MS Ashdod than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Tiberias than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

MS Ashdod - Ironi Tiberias Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ashdod will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ironi Tiberias will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Niemczycki K. (G) 2. Cohen A. 3. Diakite I. 4. Awany T. (C) 94. Mendy A. 6. Ochayi V. 13. Ansah E. 26. Kimvuidi K. 16. Yashilirmak M. 9. Harush S. 11. Almog E.	22. Sharon I. (G) 17. Unger R. 37. Baco O. 4. Sambinha 11. Gotlieb N. 3. Keltjens D. 6. Abu Akel F. 15. Balilti E. 7. Hadida G. (C) 90. Michael P. 9. Bilenkyi S.
Substitutes
87. Amer M. 23. Azo O. N. 7. Dabush N. 21. Gethon E. 8. Gordana R. 28. Hajaj I. 1. Karmi R. (G) 55. Meir R. 20. Tal R.	18. Baranes I. 21. Hasson Y. 10. Mohammed U. 1. Santos R. (G) 19. Shviro I. 27. Swisa Y. 5. Teper Y. 77. Yehuda A. 2. Yitzhak O.
Coaches
Mimer S.	Hudeda E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Sambinha ⚽,
23', Balilti E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Gotlieb N. 🟨,
57', Michael P. ↓, Baranes I. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Baco O. ⚽,
65', Yashilirmak M. ↓, Gethon E. ↑,
65', Harush S. ↓, Gordana R. ↑,
74', 0 - 3, Hadida G. ⚽, Abu Akel F. (A),
74', Abu Akel F. ↓, Mohammed U. ↑,
75', Ochayi V. ↓, Azo O. N. ↑,
78', Gordana R. 🟨,
82', Ansah E. ↓, Dabush N. ↑,
82', Cohen A. ↓, Amer M. ↑,
89', Bilenkyi S. ↓, Shviro I. ↑,
90', Balilti E. ↓, Yitzhak O. ↑,
90', Hadida G. ↓, Teper Y. ↑,
90+4', Gordana R. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ashdod won 2.

Recent form of Ashdod has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Ironi Tiberias has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ironi Tiberias may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ashdod could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Ashdod: Ben Zaken T. (Knee Injury) Hakmon S. (Heart Problems) Levi A. (Knee Injury) Tamam I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ironi Tiberias: Shapso H. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Ironi Tiberias: Mohammed U. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ashdod won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ashdod won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Ironi Tiberias	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	1

Last Results with these Odds

Ironi Tiberias - the odds 3.53 are the expected chance of winning is 26.42%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MS Ashdod
Israeli Ligat haAl
28.04.26	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - MS Ashdod	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	MS Ashdod - Maccabi Bnei Raina	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Maccabi Netanya - MS Ashdod	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Ironi Tiberias - MS Ashdod	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	MS Ashdod - Maccabi Netanya	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTL
- Ironi Tiberias
Israeli Ligat haAl
29.04.26	Hapoel Haifa - Ironi Tiberias	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Ironi Tiberias - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Ironi Tiberias	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Ironi Tiberias - MS Ashdod	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Beitar Jerusalem - Ironi Tiberias	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
11.04.26	Ironi Tiberias - MS Ashdod	0:0
08.12.25	MS Ashdod - Ironi Tiberias	1:1
06.04.25	Ironi Tiberias - MS Ashdod	1:2
22.02.25	Ironi Tiberias - MS Ashdod	2:1
30.11.24	MS Ashdod - Ironi Tiberias	1:0
Israeli State Cup
26.01.24	MS Ashdod - Ironi Tiberias	0:2

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