Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 14

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	MS Tira		Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.55	3.7
	1.73	3.67	4.11	Watch
	1.71	3.62	4.17
	1.72	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.82)	3.56 ↓ (3.72)	4.05 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MS Tira
52.2%

Draw
25.4%

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye
22.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.3%

24.6%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

23.5%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MS Tira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MS Tira than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

MS Tira - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al Gharbiyye Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tira (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: MS Tira will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tira won 3.

Tira is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Baqa al-Gharbiyye has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tira could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tira won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tira won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	MS Tira	8	6	2	0	15:5	10	20
12	Ironi Baka	8	2	2	4	12:13	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MS Tira
Israeli Liga Alef North
31.12.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - MS Tira	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	MS Tira - Hapoel Bnei Araba	3:2 ✺
13.12.25	MS Tira - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - MS Tira	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	MS Tira - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWLW
- Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye
Israeli Liga Alef North
02.01.26	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	2:2 ✺
15.12.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Karmiel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
07.02.25	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - MS Tira	4:1
13.09.24	MS Tira - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	4:1
Israeli Liga Alef Promotion Play Offs
15.05.24	MS Tira - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	2:1 penalties
Israeli Liga Alef North
19.04.24	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - MS Tira	2:0
02.02.24	MS Tira - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	2:0
03.02.23	MS Tira - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	1:2
30.09.22	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - MS Tira	0:0

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