Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 4

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye		Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.60	3.40
	1.78	3.45	3.65
	1.81	3.52	3.72
	1.8	3.67	3.77
	1.76	3.45	3.65
	1.77	3.62	3.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.05)	3.55 ↑ (3.37)	3.65 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye
50.2%

Draw
25.3%

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.5%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye's performance.

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al Gharbiyye - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
60', 1 - 0, Bondar O. ⚽,
65', (Penalty Awarded),
65', 2 - 0, Darwish W. ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 1, Moses I. ⚽,

Preview

Baqa al-Gharbiyye is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Baqa al-Gharbiyye has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1.

Specifically in home fixtures for Baqa al-Gharbiyye against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Ironi Baka	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5
13	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	3	1	0	2	5:5	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye
Israeli Liga Alef North
19.09.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	3:3 ✺
09.09.26	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Ironi Nesher	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	0:0 ✺
20.02.26	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLTTL
- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Israeli Liga Alef North
18.09.26	Tzeirey Tamra - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1:4 ✺
09.09.26	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Hapoel Beit Shean	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Tzeirey Tamra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
02.01.26	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	3:1

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