Match Info

NB I. - Round 17

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion (Budapest)

Referee: Kapraly M. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	MTK Budapest		Ujpest

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.55
	2.42	3.55	2.52
	2.47	3.7	2.79
	2.52	3.68	2.53	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.63
	2.42	3.48	2.72	Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.42)	3.54 ↓ (3.72)	2.63 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MTK Budapest
38.4%

Draw
26.3%

Ujpest
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

25.1%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

24.7%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ujpest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

MTK Budapest - Ujpest Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Ujpest will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MTK: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. MTK (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Demjen P. (G) 2. Varju B. 4. Beriashvili I. 25. Kadar T. (C) 27. Kovacs P. 23. Plsek J. 14. Horvath A. 8. Nemeth H. 7. Molnar A. 17. Polievka R. 21. Atrok I.	23. Banai D. (G) 55. Fiola A. 30. Nunes J. 74. Kaczvinszki D. 5. Kobouri D. 6. Rasak D. 18. Lacoux T. 88. Ljujic M. 10. Tajti M. 7. Beridze G. 17. Matko A.
Substitutes
29. Balazs J. (G) 22. Bevardi Z. 24. Fadgyas T. (G) 11. Jurina M. 5. Lehoczky R. 15. Szeles I. A. 3. Szepe J. 28. Szucs P. 16. Torocsik P.	8. Ademi A. 31. Dombo D. (G) 4. Feher C. 32. Ganea G. 26. Geiger B. 44. Gergenyi B. 11. Horvath K. 45. Medeiros I. 1. Piscitelli R. (G) 38. Sarkadi K. 34. Tucic M. 39. Vlijter G.
Coaches
Horvath D.	Bodor B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Lacoux T. (Own goal),
41', Nunes J. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Matko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Kobouri D. ↓, Feher C. ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Kovacs P. (Own goal),
58', Kovacs P. ↓, Torocsik P. ↑,
58', Horvath A. ↓, Szepe J. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Torocsik P. ⚽, Varju B. (A),
68', Ljujic M. ↓, Horvath K. ↑,
68', Tajti M. ↓, Ademi A. ↑,
75', Molnar A. ↓, Jurina M. ↑,
76', Feher C. ↓, Gergenyi B. ↑,
77', 2 - 3, Matko A. ⚽,
79', Kaczvinszki D. 🟨,
81', 3 - 3, Nemeth H. ⚽,
84', 3 - 4, Horvath K. ⚽, Ademi A. (A),
88', Plsek J. 🟨,
90', Jurina M. 🟨,
90+3', Kaczvinszki D. ↓, Tucic M. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 10)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 4.

MTK is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Ujpest has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, MTK has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MTK won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:23. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.4:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

MTK Budapest - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.58%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB I
06.12.25	Paksi SE - MTK Budapest	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Győri ETO - MTK Budapest	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Diósgyőri - MTK Budapest	4:0 ✺
09.11.25	MTK Budapest - Debreceni	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Ferencvárosi - MTK Budapest	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- Ujpest FC
Hungarian NB I
07.12.25	Ujpest - Zalaegerszegi TE	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Kisvárda - Ujpest	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Paksi SE - Ujpest	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Ujpest - Győri ETO	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Diósgyőri - Ujpest	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
30.08.25	Ujpest - MTK Budapest	1:2
24.05.25	MTK Budapest - Ujpest	1:3
01.03.25	Ujpest - MTK Budapest	1:5
26.10.24	MTK Budapest - Ujpest	4:1
21.04.24	Ujpest - MTK Budapest	1:2
02.02.24	MTK Budapest - Ujpest	3:0
23.09.23	Ujpest - MTK Budapest	0:2

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