Match Info

Hungarian Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion (Budapest)

Referee: Berke B. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	MTK Budapest		Videoton

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.4	3.1
	2.41	3.4	2.7
	2.39	3.36	2.87	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.25
	2.33	3.44	2.71
	2.41	3.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.02)	3.38 ↓ (3.57)	2.89 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MTK Budapest
40.8%

Draw
27.3%

Videoton
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

25.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Videoton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MTK Budapest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Videoton than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

MTK Budapest - Videoton Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Videoton will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. MTK (votes: 2 - 50%). Videoton (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Csenterics A. (G) 24. Beriashvili I. 10. Bognar I. 22. Hej V. 6. Kata M. (C) 8. Kosznovszky M. 27. Kovacs P. 23. Molnar A. 18. Nemeth K. 17. Polievka R. 2. Varju B.	1. Nagy G. (G) 27. Bedi B. 70. Holender F. 21. Huszti A. 5. Kalandadze A. 15. Kovacs M. 8. Melnyk B. 3. Petrov S. 28. Sekularac K. 4. Spandler C. (C) 11. Stefanelli N.
Substitutes
20. Bako S. B. 29. Balazs J. (G) 1. Demjen P. (G) 14. Horvath A. 11. Jurina M. 25. Kadar T. 28. Kenesei N. 9. Molnar R. 5. Nagy Z. 7. Stieber Z. 26. Szoke G.	53. Horvath T. 10. Kastrati L. 77. Katona M. 44. Kemenes B. (G) 33. Lakatos K. 7. Milicevic I. 30. Ominger G. 99. Peto M. 9. Saponjic I. 16. Simut M. 23. Szabo B.
Coaches
Horvath D.	Peto T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Sekularac K. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Huszti A. ↓, Milicevic I. ↑,
49', Sekularac K. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Nemeth K. ⚽,
53', Holender F. 🟨,
54', Kovacs M. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Bognar I. ⚽,
66', Melnyk B. ↓, Saponjic I. ↑,
66', Molnar A. ↓, Molnar R. ↑,
66', Sekularac K. ↓, Szabo B. ↑,
69', Nemeth K. ↓, Jurina M. ↑,
69', Bognar I. ↓, Horvath A. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Jurina M. ⚽,
75', Petrov S. 🟨,
76', 4 - 1, Milicevic I. (Own goal),
77', Kalandadze A. ↓, Kastrati L. ↑,
77', Stefanelli N. ↓, Peto M. ↑,
80', Polievka R. ↓, Stieber Z. ↑,
80', Beriashvili I. ↓, Kadar T. ↑,
89', 4 - 2, Saponjic I. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches MTK won 1.

MTK is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fehérvár is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently MTK have a series of guest games.

MTK will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches MTK won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 20:40 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams MTK won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:17 (average 1.2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB I
29.03.25	Győri ETO - MTK Budapest	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	MTK Budapest - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Zalaegerszegi TE - MTK Budapest	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Ujpest - MTK Budapest	1:5 ✺
Hungarian Cup
26.02.25	Iváncsa - MTK Budapest	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTWW
- Videoton FC
Hungarian NB I
30.03.25	Ujpest - Videoton	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Videoton - Diósgyőri	0:0 ✺
07.03.25	Kecskemeti - Videoton	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Debreceni - Videoton	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Videoton - Ferencvárosi	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
14.12.24	MTK Budapest - Videoton	3:2
30.08.24	Videoton - MTK Budapest	1:0
03.05.24	Videoton - MTK Budapest	4:0
10.02.24	MTK Budapest - Videoton	0:2
08.10.23	Videoton - MTK Budapest	3:0
10.04.22	MTK Budapest - Videoton	1:1
11.12.21	MTK Budapest - Videoton	0:2

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