Match Info

OTP Bank Liga - Round 25

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Szusza Ferenc Stadion (Budapest)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Ujpest		Videoton

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.3
	2.1	3.25	3.2
	2.12	3.3	3.3
	2.12	3.37	3.37	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.3
	2.07	3.36	3.31	Watch
	2.12	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.21)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	3.3 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ujpest
43.8%

Draw
28.1%

Videoton
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.2%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ujpest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Videoton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Videoton than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Ujpest - Videoton Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ujpest will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Piscitelli R. (G) 33. Bese B. 30. Nunes J. 35. Duarte A. 44. Gergenyi B. 18. Lacoux T. 55. Fiola A. 88. Ljujic M. 11. Horvath K. 9. Brodic F. 70. Karamoko M.	57. Dala M. (G) 31. Serafimov N. 3. Petrov S. 5. Kalandadze A. 7. Milicevic I. 77. Katona M. 23. Szabo B. 99. Peto M. 8. Melnyk B. 70. Holender F. 9. Saponjic I.
Substitutes
23. Banai D. (G) 14. Beridze G. 77. Denes A. 17. Ganea G. 26. Geiger B. 1. Gellert G. (G) 74. Kaczvinszki D. 5. Kobouri D. 47. Mucsanyi M. 29. Onovo V. 6. Rasak D. 7. Simon K.	27. Bedi B. 53. Horvath T. 44. Kemenes B. (G) 15. Kovacs M. 33. Lakatos K. 1. Nagy G. (G) 30. Ominger G. 28. Sekularac K. 11. Stefanelli N. 87. Viragh M.
Coaches
Grzelak B.	Peto T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', Serafimov N. 🟨,
5', Horvath K. (Pen),
22', 1 - 0, Bese B. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Melnyk B. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Katona M. ↓, Stefanelli N. ↑,
55', Ljujic M. ↓, Rasak D. ↑,
55', Holender F. ↓, Kovacs M. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Saponjic I. ⚽, Milicevic I. (A),
66', Saponjic I. 🟨,
73', Peto M. ↓, Sekularac K. ↑,
73', Karamoko M. ↓, Beridze G. ↑,
73', Horvath K. ↓, Geiger B. ↑,
80', Brodic F. ↓, Ganea G. ↑,
82', Serafimov N. ↓, Bedi B. ↑,
88', Kalandadze A. 🟨,
89', Lacoux T. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Szabo B. ⚽, Milicevic I. (A),
90+3', Fiola A. 🟨,
90+3', Melnyk B. 🟨,
90+10', Szabo B. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ujpest won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Fehérvár could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ujpest will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ujpest won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:26 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ujpest won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ujpest FC
Hungarian NB I
14.03.25	Paksi SE - Ujpest	6:1 ✺
09.03.25	Ujpest - Puskás Academy	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Ujpest - MTK Budapest	1:5 ✺
Hungarian Cup
26.02.25	Dorogi - Ujpest	0:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
22.02.25	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Ujpest	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLWT
- Videoton FC
Hungarian NB I
16.03.25	Videoton - Diósgyőri	0:0 ✺
07.03.25	Kecskemeti - Videoton	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Debreceni - Videoton	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Videoton - Ferencvárosi	1:3 ✺
Hungarian Cup
19.02.25	Gyirmót - Videoton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
23.11.24	Videoton - Ujpest	0:1
11.08.24	Ujpest - Videoton	4:1
03.03.24	Ujpest - Videoton	2:0
04.11.23	Videoton - Ujpest	2:1
29.07.23	Ujpest - Videoton	2:1
08.04.23	Videoton - Ujpest	0:0
09.11.22	Ujpest - Videoton	2:1

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