Match Info

Kakkonen Group A

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Kymenlaakson Sähkö Stadion (Kouvola)


	MYPA		Honka

	1	X	2
	9.75	6.75	1.18
	10	6.9	1.19
	10.55	7.85	1.15
	10.15	7.3	1.17	Watch
	9.5	6	1.2
	12.5	8	1.13
	10	6.9	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.35 ↑ (4.29)	7.1 ↑ (4.7)	1.17 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MYPA
8.9%

Draw
12.9%

Honka
78.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

19.6%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

19%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MYPA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MYPA's form might have worsened.

Honka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Honka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MYPA than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MYPA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honka than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Honka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

MYPA - Honka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kangaskolkka E. (G) 9. Haimi O. 15. Hernesniemi S. 13. Kahkonen O. (C) 61. Karppanen V. 11. Makela O. 32. Makinen T. 14. Piira V. 19. Polat R. 5. Rauos J. 24. Stadig T.	1. Hietanen K. (G) 17. Ahokas B. 3. Aijala E. 9. Bela V. 2. Hamalainen J. 11. Heikkinen B. 28. Nyback I. 6. Pyyskanen R. 4. Ramstrom A. (C) 8. Saarikivi N. 27. Venermo A.
Substitutes
4. Eskelinen O. 17. Heimonen O. 99. Kaikkonen A. (G) 22. Pykalainen P. 23. Sikanen E.	7. Davidyan E. 18. Heiskanen A. 20. Ilmen O. 23. Liikonen K. 53. Onuoha E. 39. Salmivuori E. 12. Serjala N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
31', 0 - 1, Ramstrom A. ⚽,
40', Liikonen K. 🟨,
40', Heikkinen B. ↓, Davidyan E. ↑,
41', Rauos J. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Venermo A. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 3, Pyyskanen R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Kahkonen O. ↓, Pykalainen P. ↑,
47', 1 - 3, Piira V. ⚽,
51', 1 - 4, Saarikivi N. ⚽,
59', 1 - 5, Nyback I. ⚽,
60', Rauos J. ↓, Eskelinen O. ↑,
60', Piira V. ↓, Heimonen O. ↑,
63', Pykalainen P. 🟨,
66', Makela O. 🟨,
70', Makela O. ↓, Sikanen E. ↑,
71', 2 - 5, Polat R. ⚽,
76', Nyback I. 🟨,
80', Hamalainen J. ↓, Onuoha E. ↑,
80', Bela V. ↓, Heiskanen A. ↑,
80', Saarikivi N. ↓, Liikonen K. ↑,
85', 2 - 6, Liikonen K. ⚽,
86', Nyback I. ↓, Salmivuori E. ↑,
89', Heimonen O. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MYPA won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Honka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Honka is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, MYPA won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, MYPA won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MYPA
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
23.05.25	VJS Vantaa - MYPA	3:2 ✺
17.05.25	MYPA - JPS	5:3 ✺
11.05.25	MYPA - Puistolan Urheilijat	4:0 ✺
03.05.25	PEPO Lappeenranta - MYPA	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	MYPA - Grankulla IFK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWLW
- FC Honka
Finnish Cup
28.05.25	Honka - Ekenäs	0:1 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
24.05.25	Honka - PEPO Lappeenranta	4:1 ✺
16.05.25	Haminan Pallo-Kissat - Honka	1:12 ✺
11.05.25	Honka - VJS Vantaa	1:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
07.05.25	Esbo Bollklubb - Honka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
17.09.14	Honka - MYPA	2:0
19.04.14	Honka - MYPA	1:2
06.04.14	MYPA - Honka	4:3
01.09.13	MYPA - Honka	0:0
24.06.13	Honka - MYPA	2:0
05.05.13	MYPA - Honka	1:0
04.10.12	Honka - MYPA	1:1

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