The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
PEPO Lappeenranta 77.2%
Draw 13.5%
MYPA 9.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.3%
17.8%
15.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.7%
16.9%
15.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
PEPO Lappeenranta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PEPO Lappeenranta's performance.
MYPA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MYPA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for PEPO Lappeenranta than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PEPO Lappeenranta that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for MYPA than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MYPA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
PEPO Lappeenranta - MYPA Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Kuitto M. (G) 8. Ahamdi E. 10. Enbuska J. 9. Jammeh I. 25. Jappinen J. (C) 29. Junnikkala A. 21. Kohonen L. 14. Maki-Uuro T. 7. Salminen M. 4. Seppala E. 6. Turppo O.
47. Voutilainen N. (G) 19. Ahola K. 3. Erjanko J. 9. Haimi O. 45. Makinen T. 18. Onatsu A. 14. Piira V. 22. Pykalainen P. 5. Rauos J. (C) 8. Ritola N. 27. Turunen V.
Substitutes
20. Hadi A. 15. Heikkinen L. 13. Hinkkanen J. 19. Koistinen M. 18. Olives T. 40. Royti M. 11. Sikanen E. 16. Suoraniemi S. 23. Varganov A. (G)
4. Eskelinen O. 87. Hietala V. 26. Kaddouri K. 13. Kahkonen O. 99. Kaikkonen A. (G) 6. Koykka M. 28. Rauhala O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Ahamdi E. 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Salminen M. ⚽,
11', Pykalainen P. 🟨,
12', Piira V. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, Enbuska J. ⚽,
46', Onatsu A. ↓, Hietala V. ↑,
51', 3 - 0, Salminen M. ⚽,
56', 4 - 0, Enbuska J. ⚽,
57', Jammeh I. ↓, Suoraniemi S. ↑,
58', Enbuska J. ↓, Sikanen E. ↑,
60', Pykalainen P. ↓, Koykka M. ↑,
60', Rauos J. ↓, Kahkonen O. ↑,
60', Turunen V. ↓, Rauhala O. ↑,
63', 4 - 1, Haimi O. ⚽,
70', Makinen T. ↓, Kaddouri K. ↑,
73', Ritola N. 🟨,
76', 🟨,
77', Salminen M. ↓, Hadi A. ↑,
77', Junnikkala A. ↓, Heikkinen L. ↑,
87', 🟨,
90+3', Kaddouri K. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: ) and 9 in the zone Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage: )).
PEPO is Qualified for Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage )
MYPA is Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PEPO won 2.
PEPO has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
MYPA has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, PEPO is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, PEPO won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 1.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, PEPO won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
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Kuitto M. (G) 
Jammeh I. 
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