Match Info

Date: 2 September 2020, Wednesday


	MYPA		KPV Kokkola

	1	X	2
	5.75	5.25	1.44
	5.5	4.6	1.4
	6	4.75	1.4
	5.6	4.7	1.43
	6.5	5.13	1.44
	6.5	4.8	1.4
	6	4.9	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.98 ↓ (6.48)	4.88 ↑ (4.63)	1.42 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MYPA
15.5%

Draw
19.1%

KPV Kokkola
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

20%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

17.1%

77%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MYPA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

KPV Kokkola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MYPA than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KPV Kokkola than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KPV Kokkola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

MYPA - KPV Kokkola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group) and 7 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group)).

MYPA is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches KPV is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

MYPA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match KPV is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches MYPA won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams MYPA won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MYPA
Finnish Ykkonen
29.08.20	Ekenäs - MYPA	3:0 ✺
26.08.20	MYPA - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:1 ✺
22.08.20	MYPA - SJK Akatemia	4:2 ✺
16.08.20	Gnistan - MYPA	3:2 ✺
10.08.20	MuSa - MYPA	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLL
- KPV Kokkola
Finnish Ykkonen
29.08.20	MuSa - KPV Kokkola	3:2 ✺
22.08.20	KPV Kokkola - Gnistan	6:1 ✺
16.08.20	Kajaani - KPV Kokkola	0:1 ✺
09.08.20	KPV Kokkola - FF Jaro	0:4 ✺
05.08.20	KPV Kokkola - SJK Akatemia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLW

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