Match Info

Date: 10 August 2020, Monday 🏁 Finished


	MuSa		MYPA

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	8.5
	1.4	4.33	6
	1.4	4.5	6.75
	1.38	4.7	6.6
	1.4	4.91	7.56
	1.35	4.75	7.5
	1.39	5	6.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.5)	4.71 ↑ (4.13)	7.08 ↑ (5.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MuSa
67.2%

Draw
19.7%

MYPA
13.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.9%

22.4%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

18.8%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MuSa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MuSa's performance.

MYPA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MuSa than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MuSa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MYPA than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	12%	4%

MuSa - MYPA Predictions

Users Predictions: MuSa will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Ykkonen (Championship Group) and 11 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group)).

MuSa in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

MYPA has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match MuSa is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's MuSa to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 5 head-to-head matches MuSa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-7.

Including matches at home between the teams MuSa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Musan Salama
Finnish Ykkonen
06.08.20	MuSa - Ekenäs	1:0 ✺
02.08.20	Mikkelin Palloilijat - MuSa	1:2 ✺
25.07.20	MuSa - Gnistan	5:1 ✺
18.07.20	SJK Akatemia - MuSa	0:2 ✺
15.07.20	VPS Vaasa - MuSa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWWWT
- MYPA
Finnish Ykkonen
05.08.20	KTP Kotka - MYPA	3:2 ✺
01.08.20	MYPA - Kajaani	0:0 ✺
26.07.20	FF Jaro - MYPA	1:0 ✺
11.07.20	VPS Vaasa - MYPA	1:0 ✺
04.07.20	MYPA - Oulu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Cup
02.02.20	MYPA - MuSa	1:2
Finnish Ykkonen
14.09.19	MYPA - MuSa	3:2
13.07.19	MuSa - MYPA	4:0
25.05.19	MuSa - MYPA	1:2
Finnish Cup
10.02.19	MYPA - MuSa	1:4

MuSa - MYPA