Match Info

FINLAND: YKKONEN

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Kokkolan keskuskentta (Kokkola)


	KPV Kokkola		Gnistan

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.15
	3.5	3.1	2.08
	3.32	3.25	2.29
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.24	3.22	2.19
	3.15	3.1	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (3.23)	3.1 ↑ (3)	2.18 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KPV Kokkola
28.2%

Draw
29.6%

Gnistan
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

30.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

29.6%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KPV Kokkola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KPV Kokkola than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

KPV Kokkola - Gnistan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. KPV will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Gnistan will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gnistan: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Seppa V. (G) 3. Sipola S. 12. Curinga K. 21. Chantzopoulos C. 5. Mahlamaki S. 8. Mannstrom S. (C) 6. Kujasalo N. 11. Paananen J. 14. Kauppila M. 17. Gomes V. 15. Makinen S.	45. Koski J. (C) 16. Rasimus K. 24. Sukunda Z. 14. Olander H. 32. Ala-Iso S. 30. Mabinda J. 20. Medo 10. Latonen J. 6. Woivalin H. 9. Markkanen E. 19. Tolonen M.
Substitutes
32. Ahokangas A. 90. Byskata P. 2. Ihalainen J. 33. Lazarev S. (G) 26. Moilanen J. 29. Wegye W. 20. Ylimaki O.	4. Kahisalo L. 23. Liikonen K. 33. Linnas O. (G) 25. Malolo R. 17. Sarr M. 26. Tiihonen A. 7. Weckstrom L.
Coaches
Sund C.	Rantanen J.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches KPV won 2.

KPV is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gnistan is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently KPV have a series of guest games.

Gnistan will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches KPV won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-14.

Including matches at home between the teams KPV won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KPV Kokkola
Finnish Ykkonen
21.05.23	FF Jaro - KPV Kokkola	1:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
17.05.23	Kemin Palloseura - KPV Kokkola	1:2 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
13.05.23	KPV Kokkola - JäPS	1:2 ✺
08.05.23	HIFK - KPV Kokkola	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KPV Kokkola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- IF Gnistan
Finnish Ykkonen
21.05.23	Gnistan - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
17.05.23	Grankulla IFK - Gnistan	2:3 penalties ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
13.05.23	TPS - Gnistan	0:2 ✺
07.05.23	Gnistan - Ekenäs	0:0 ✺
29.04.23	KaPa - Gnistan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
01.07.22	Gnistan - KPV Kokkola	1:2
23.04.22	KPV Kokkola - Gnistan	0:2
28.07.21	Gnistan - KPV Kokkola	0:3
24.06.21	KPV Kokkola - Gnistan	0:2
31.10.20	Gnistan - KPV Kokkola	5:0
22.08.20	KPV Kokkola - Gnistan	6:1
16.09.17	KPV Kokkola - Gnistan	1:2

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