Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 15

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth		Hapoel Bnei Musmus

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.95	5.15
	1.49	4.17	5.5	Watch
	1.66	3.61	4.9
	1.5	3.8	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.47)	3.88 ↑ (3.66)	5.26 ↓ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
59.2%

Draw
23.5%

Hapoel Bnei Musmus
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

24.6%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

24.2%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Hapoel Bnei Musmus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Bnei Musmus than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Bnei Musmus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Masarwa S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 1 - 1, Abu Nasser A. ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, Abed A. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League and 8).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Maccabi Nazareth is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maccabi Nazareth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	4	1	1	2	3:6	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Alef North
06.01.26	Hapoel Beit Shean - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:0 ✺
02.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Karmiel	2:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
27.12.25	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Maccabi Haifa	1:8 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
19.12.25	Tzeirey Tamra - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:5 ✺
12.12.25	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Ironi Nesher	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLWL
- Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Israeli Liga Alef North
06.01.26	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	2:2 ✺
01.01.26	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1:1 ✺
19.12.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	1:0 ✺
15.12.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
27.12.24	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	4:2

Upcoming Matches