Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGA ALEF SOUTH - ROUND 17

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday


	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod		Hapoel Kfar Shalem

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.75
	4.2	3.54	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↓ (4.42)	3.52 ↓ (3.74)	1.74 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
22.8%

Draw
25.5%

Hapoel Kfar Shalem
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

24.2%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

23.3%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Hapoel Kfar Shalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kfar Shalem than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Kfar Shalem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef South (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Maccabi Ironi Ashdod is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hapoel Kfar Shalem in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hapoel Kfar Shalem could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hapoel Kfar Shalem will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maccabi Ironi Ashdod won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Maccabi Ironi Ashdod won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Israeli Liga Alef South
13.01.23	Dimona - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:2 ✺
07.01.23	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:1 ✺
30.12.22	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Shaarayim	0:3 ✺
23.12.22	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	3:0 ✺
16.12.22	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Herzliya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTLLT
- Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
12.01.23	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Ironi Modiin	2:1 ✺
06.01.23	Dimona - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:0 ✺
29.12.22	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Shimshon Tel Aviv	2:1 ✺
23.12.22	Maccabi Shaarayim - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:1 ✺
15.12.22	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
15.09.22	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:0
13.04.22	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	8:0
31.12.21	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:1
01.02.20	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:2
27.09.19	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	3:1

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