Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 15

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Shimshon Tel Aviv		Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.82
	2.12	3.56	2.93	Watch
	2.21	3.29	3.09
	2.12	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.63)	3.41 ↑ (3.3)	2.94 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimshon Tel Aviv
42.3%

Draw
26.7%

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

27.7%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

26.6%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimshon Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shimshon Tel Aviv's performance.

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maccabi Ironi Ashdod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimshon Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shimshon Tel Aviv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod than the current prediction. (+5%)

Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Malika R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
89', 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimshon Tel Aviv won 1.

Shimshon Tel Aviv is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Shimshon Tel Aviv won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Shimshon Tel Aviv won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Shimshon Tel Aviv	5	3	1	1	10:6	4	10
12	M. Ironi Ashdod	5	1	3	1	7:6	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimshon Tel Aviv
Israeli Liga Alef South
06.01.26	Hapoel Herzliya - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
01.01.26	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	2:2 ✺
19.12.25	Beitar Yavne - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
11.12.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Marmorek	3:2 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Azor - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTLWW
- Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Israeli Liga Alef South
06.01.26	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	1:2 ✺
31.12.25	Dimona - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	2:1 ✺
19.12.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Nordia Jerusalem	3:3 ✺
13.12.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Holon Yermiyahu	1:1 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
07.03.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:1
31.10.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:1
15.03.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:0
24.12.23	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	2:1
17.04.23	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Shimshon Tel Aviv	5:1
07.01.23	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:1
01.04.22	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:2

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