Match Info

Leumit League - Round 23

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 5 Max


	Maccabi Jaffa		Bnei Yehuda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.3	1.98	Watch
	3.48	3.5	2
	3.47	3.62	1.98	Watch
	3.53	3.53	1.98	Watch
	3.33	3.33	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (3.18)	3.46 ↑ (3.28)	1.99 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Jaffa
27%

Draw
26.7%

Bnei Yehuda
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

27.5%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

27.6%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Jaffa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Bnei Yehuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Jaffa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bnei Yehuda than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Maccabi Jaffa - Bnei Yehuda Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bnei Yehuda (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Maccabi Jaffa (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bnei Yehuda will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Maccabi Jaffa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bnei Yehuda (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Dror S. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Peretz R. ⚽,
21', 2 - 1, Itzhak G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
47', 2 - 2, Golan B. ⚽,
53', 3 - 2, Kingsley I. ⚽,
73', 3 - 3, Piven Y. ⚽,
84', 4 - 3, ⚽,
87', 4 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Jaffa won 1.

Maccabi Jaffa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bnei Yehuda is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Bnei Yehuda is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Jaffa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Maccabi Jaffa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bnei Yehuda	8	6	2	0	19:7	12	20
14	Maccabi Jaffa	8	2	0	6	7:17	-10	6

Last Results with these Odds

Bnei Yehuda - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.08%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Jaffa
Israeli Liga Leumit
09.02.26	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Maccabi Jaffa	0:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
05.02.26	Maccabi Jaffa - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:5 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
30.01.26	Maccabi Jaffa - Ironi Modiin	1:0 ✺
23.01.26	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Acre	0:1 ✺
16.01.26	Hapoel Hadera - Maccabi Jaffa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLWLL
- Bnei Yehuda
Israeli Liga Leumit
09.02.26	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Acre	2:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
04.02.26	Beitar Jerusalem - Bnei Yehuda	1:2 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
30.01.26	Hapoel Hadera - Bnei Yehuda	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Bnei Yehuda - Kafr Qasim	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Bnei Yehuda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
12.10.25	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Jaffa	0:1
24.01.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Bnei Yehuda	1:2
23.09.24	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Jaffa	1:0
07.05.24	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Jaffa	3:1
05.04.24	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Jaffa	2:1
25.12.23	Maccabi Jaffa - Bnei Yehuda	0:0
14.04.23	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Jaffa	2:0

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