Match Info

Leumit League - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 SPORT Israel


	Maccabi Jaffa		Maccabi Petah Tikva

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.6	1.6
	5.15	3.85	1.52
	5.44	4.07	1.56
	10.47	6.89	1.20	Watch
	5.46	3.76	1.54
	4.8	3.55	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.99 ↑ (4)	4.29 ↑ (3.5)	1.5 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Jaffa
15.7%

Draw
21.9%

Maccabi Petah Tikva
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

26%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

25.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Jaffa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maccabi Jaffa's form might have worsened.

Maccabi Petah Tikva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maccabi Petah Tikva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Jaffa than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maccabi Jaffa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Petah Tikva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maccabi Jaffa - Maccabi Petah Tikva Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maccabi Petah Tikva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Maccabi Petah Tikva (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maccabi Petah Tikva (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Hazan L. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Cortes J. ⚽,
37', 🟥,
45+2', 0 - 3, Cohen I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
68', 0 - 4, Cortes J. ⚽,
73', 1 - 4, Beit Yaakov M. ⚽,
76', 1 - 5, Muhammad Khatib ⚽,
81', 1 - 6, Muhammad Khatib ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: )).

Maccabi Jaffa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Maccabi Petah Tikva is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Maccabi Petah Tikva is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Jaffa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Maccabi Jaffa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Jaffa
Israeli Liga Leumit
28.09.25	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Jaffa	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Hapoel Acre - Maccabi Jaffa	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Hadera	1:1 ✺
08.09.25	Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Jaffa	4:2 ✺
01.09.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Ramat Gan	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTTLL
- Maccabi Petah Tikva
Israeli Liga Leumit
28.09.25	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Acre	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Hapoel Hadera - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:2 ✺
17.09.25	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Maccabi Petah Tikva	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Kafr Qasim	2:3 ✺
31.08.25	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
05.05.23	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Maccabi Jaffa	3:1
14.02.23	Maccabi Jaffa - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:4
24.10.22	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Maccabi Jaffa	1:1

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