Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 22

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik		Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.85	4.65
	1.5	3.61	5.63
	1.52	3.92	5.57	Watch
	1.58	3.82	4.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.72)	3.8 ↑ (3.75)	5.17 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
58.8%

Draw
23.8%

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

24.1%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

23.4%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik's performance.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Umm al-Fahm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Hapoel Umm al Fahm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has had a series of home games.

In this match, M Kiryat Ata Bialik is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, M Kiryat Ata Bialik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	M. Kiryat Ata-Bialik	5	3	1	1	14:7	7	10
7	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	4	1	3	0	7:6	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
Israeli Liga Alef North
21.02.26	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	3:5 ✺
12.02.26	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Hapoel Beit Shean	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLTTW
- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Alef North
21.02.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Beit Shean	2:3 ✺
05.02.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Karmiel	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Tzeirey Tamra - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:4 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Ironi Nesher	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
01.11.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	3:5
Israeli State Cup
28.01.24	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	2:0

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