Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 29

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday


	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi		Agudat Sport Ashdod

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.85
	1.97	3.5	3.3
				Watch
	2.1	3.28	3.14
	1.97	3.5	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (3.37)	3.4 ↑ (3.25)	2.9 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
39.3%

Draw
27.9%

Agudat Sport Ashdod
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

28%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

27.4%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi's performance.

Agudat Sport Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Agudat Sport Ashdod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agudat Sport Ashdod than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Agudat Sport Ashdod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Agudat Sport Ashdod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Alyagon R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
84', 1 - 1, Yosef R. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Zohar O. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

M Kiryat Malakhi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

AS Ashdod will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches M Kiryat Malakhi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.7:2).

Including matches at home between the teams M Kiryat Malakhi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
Israeli Liga Alef South
12.03.25	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1:0 ✺
07.03.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Maccabi Yavne	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1:1 ✺
21.02.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Jerusalem FC	0:1 ✺
07.02.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Holon Yermiyahu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWTLT
- Agudat Sport Ashdod
Israeli Liga Alef South
12.03.25	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Shaarayim	3:0 ✺
28.02.25	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:0 ✺
21.02.25	Hapoel Azor - Agudat Sport Ashdod	3:2 ✺
14.02.25	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Bnei Lod	3:0 ✺
06.02.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Agudat Sport Ashdod	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
02.12.24	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	4:0
22.03.24	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	0:1
29.12.23	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Agudat Sport Ashdod	1:2

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