Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 14

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi		Maccabi Yavne

	1	X	2
	3.42	3.25	2.03	Watch
	3.23	3.13	2.12
	3.2	2.9	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.29)	3.09 ↓ (3.55)	2.12 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
27.7%

Draw
29.4%

Maccabi Yavne
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25.8%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

24.8%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi's form might have worsened.

Maccabi Yavne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maccabi Yavne's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Yavne than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Yavne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Maccabi Yavne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Ratner Y. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Manisco A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
68', 1 - 2, Ben Avi H. ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, Biro O. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 3, Sterling Y. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).

M Kiryat Malakhi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Maccabi Yavne has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, M Kiryat Malakhi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, M Kiryat Malakhi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	M. Ironi Kiryat Malachi	5	3	2	0	11:3	8	11
7	Maccabi Yavne	5	2	2	1	9:3	6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
Israeli Liga Alef South
01.01.26	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	2:2 ✺
19.12.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	Dimona - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Nordia Jerusalem	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLWL
- Maccabi Yavne
Israeli Liga Alef South
02.01.26	Maccabi Yavne - Beitar Yavne	2:2 ✺
18.12.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Yavne	0:2 ✺
12.12.25	Maccabi Yavne - Hapoel Azor	1:1 ✺
05.12.25	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Yavne	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Maccabi Yavne - Tzeirei Tira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
07.03.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Maccabi Yavne	1:0
01.11.24	Maccabi Yavne - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	2:0
19.04.24	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Maccabi Yavne	2:0
01.02.24	Maccabi Yavne - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	0:1

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