Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 24

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday


	Agudat Sport Ashdod		Hapoel Bnei Lod

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.3	6.8
	1.37	4.13	7.27
	1.38	4.29	7.55
	1.34	4.4	8
	1.38	4.3	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.55)	4.28 ↑ (3.6)	7.28 ↑ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agudat Sport Ashdod
66.3%

Draw
21.2%

Hapoel Bnei Lod
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.2%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

24.1%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agudat Sport Ashdod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Agudat Sport Ashdod's performance.

Hapoel Bnei Lod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agudat Sport Ashdod than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Agudat Sport Ashdod that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Bnei Lod than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Bnei Lod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, ⚽,
86', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 14).

Recent matches AS Ashdod is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hapoel Bnei Lod has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hapoel Bnei Lod could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match AS Ashdod is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches AS Ashdod won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.8:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams AS Ashdod won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agudat Sport Ashdod
Israeli Liga Alef South
06.02.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Agudat Sport Ashdod	1:0 ✺
30.01.25	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Tzeirei Tira	2:0 ✺
24.01.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Agudat Sport Ashdod	0:2 ✺
17.01.25	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Dimona	0:0 ✺
10.01.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Agudat Sport Ashdod	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWTT
- Hapoel Bnei Lod
Israeli Liga Alef South
07.02.25	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Ironi Modiin	0:3 ✺
30.01.25	Maccabi Yavne - Hapoel Bnei Lod	3:1 ✺
24.01.25	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Hapoel Herzliya	0:3 ✺
17.01.25	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Bnei Lod	3:0 ✺
03.01.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Hapoel Bnei Lod	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
15.10.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Agudat Sport Ashdod	1:2
09.04.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Agudat Sport Ashdod	0:1
19.01.24	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Bnei Lod	2:0
13.03.21	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Agudat Sport Ashdod	1:2

Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Bnei Lod: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide