Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf)

Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 6, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	Ketnet, RTBF Tipik, Sporza, Sporza, VRT Canvas
Bolivia	ESPN 7
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 7
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 7
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 7
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Claro Sports
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
Norway	Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 7
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 7
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 10, M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 10
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 8
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 7, Inter


	Saint-Gilloise		Hapoel Beer Sheva

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	7.5
	1.36	5.25	8.00
	1.35	5.4	8.6
	1.36	5.54	8.63
	1.36	5.3	8.1
	1.32	5.4	8.45
	1.36	5.53	8.7
	1.32	5.4	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.52)	5.42 ↑ (4.59)	8.2 ↑ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
70.8%

Draw
17.6%

Hapoel Beer Sheva
11.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63%

20.9%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

20.1%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint-Gilloise's performance.

Hapoel Beer Sheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint-Gilloise that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Saint Gilloise - Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Saint-Gilloise will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Merkur Spiel-Arena.

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Hapoel Beer Sheva may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Union SG holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Confirmed absences for Union SG: Ait El Hadj A. (Off the roster) Hurtevent I. (Knock) Kricfalusi O. (Knock) Mac Allister K. (Knee Injury) Pavlic I. (Off the roster) Rodriguez K. (Muscle Injury) Schoofs R. (Knock) Sykes R. (Shoulder Injury).

Confirmed absences for Hapoel Beer Sheva: Biton D. (Heart Problems) Stoyanov Y. (Off the roster).

Doubtful / questionable for Union SG: Zorgane A. (Knock).

Doubtful / questionable for Hapoel Beer Sheva: Lucas Ventura (Muscle Injury) Nachmias I. (Injury) Rotman I. (Knee Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Union SG in today's match, at odds of 1.35.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Royale Union SG	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
25	H. Beer Sheva	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Royale Union SG: 1.7% H. Beer Sheva: 0.39%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Saint-Gilloise - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.10.26	Saint-Gilloise - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Royal Antwerp - Saint-Gilloise	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Saint-Gilloise	0:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.09.26	Saint-Gilloise - Lommel	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWWW
- Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israeli Ligat haAl
18.10.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Jerusalem	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	AZ Alkmaar - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:1 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
10.10.26	Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Dinamo Zagreb	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWT

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