Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 27

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday


	Maccabi Shaarayim		Ironi Modiin

	1	X	2
	6.75	3.6	1.44
	8	4.4	1.34
	7.57	4.16	1.34
	8.76	4.32	1.35	Watch
	10.2	4.2	1.31
	8	4.4	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.21 ↑ (6.31)	4.18 ↑ (3.5)	1.35 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Shaarayim
11.1%

Draw
21.8%

Ironi Modiin
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

25.8%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

25.8%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Shaarayim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Ironi Modiin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ironi Modiin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Shaarayim than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Modiin than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ironi Modiin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maccabi Shaarayim - Ironi Modiin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Alef South (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League).

Maccabi Shaarayim has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ironi Modiin is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ironi Modiin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ironi Modiin is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maccabi Shaarayim won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Maccabi Shaarayim won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Shaarayim
Israeli Liga Alef South
28.02.25	Maccabi Yavne - Maccabi Shaarayim	3:2 ✺
21.02.25	Maccabi Shaarayim - Hapoel Herzliya	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Shaarayim	2:2 ✺
31.01.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Maccabi Shaarayim	2:0 ✺
23.01.25	Maccabi Shaarayim - Holon Yermiyahu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTLL
- Ironi Modiin
Israeli Liga Alef South
21.02.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
14.02.25	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Azor	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Ironi Modiin	0:3 ✺
31.01.25	Ironi Modiin - Nordia Jerusalem	3:0 ✺
25.01.25	Tzeirei Tira - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
01.11.24	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Shaarayim	1:1
12.04.24	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Shaarayim	1:1
26.01.24	Maccabi Shaarayim - Ironi Modiin	1:3
17.03.23	Maccabi Shaarayim - Ironi Modiin	1:0
10.11.22	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Shaarayim	0:0

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