Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 7

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday


	Maccabi Shaarayim		Jerusalem FC

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.55
	2.88	3.4	2.12
	3.03	3.58	2.09	Watch
	3.31	3.24	2.05
	2.5	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.25)	3.34 ↑ (3.2)	2.27 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Shaarayim
32.2%

Draw
27.4%

Jerusalem FC
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.8%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

29.8%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Shaarayim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maccabi Shaarayim's form might have worsened.

Jerusalem FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jerusalem FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Shaarayim than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maccabi Shaarayim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jerusalem FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maccabi Shaarayim - Jerusalem FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Jerusalem could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Maccabi Shaarayim will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Shaarayim
Israeli Liga Alef South
09.10.24	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Shaarayim	0:1 ✺
27.09.24	Maccabi Shaarayim - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Shaarayim	1:1 ✺
13.09.24	Maccabi Shaarayim - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:2 ✺
10.09.24	Hapoel Azor - Maccabi Shaarayim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTTLL
- Jerusalem FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
27.09.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Jerusalem FC	0:1 ✺
20.09.24	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Azor	3:1 ✺
17.09.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Jerusalem FC	4:1 ✺
13.09.24	Jerusalem FC - Nordia Jerusalem	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	Tzeirei Tira - Jerusalem FC	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWLLW

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