The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Macclesfield Town 45.3%
Draw 24.4%
South Shields 30.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.8%
25.4%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
25.3%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Macclesfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Macclesfield Town's performance.
South Shields has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Shields might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Macclesfield Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Shields could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Macclesfield Town - South Shields Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Blackett P. ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, Jones J. ⚽,
30', 1 - 2, Kay J. ⚽,
39', 1 - 3, Scott C. ⚽,
42', 2 - 3, Borthwick-Jackson C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 3 - 3, Ustabasi J. ⚽,
69', 4 - 3, Elliott D. ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - National League North Playoffs - Semi - finals and 4th in the Promotion - National League North Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
Macclesfield has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
South Shields has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Macclesfield may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Macclesfield is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Macclesfield has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:4 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Macclesfield against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:0 goals (averaging 3:0 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
South Shields
13
8
2
3
22:18
4
26
4
Macclesfield
12
7
3
2
18:11
7
24
Last Results with these Odds
South Shields - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.83%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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