The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hereford 29.5%
Draw 25.9%
South Shields 44.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
25.6%
43.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
25.4%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
South Shields has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Hereford - South Shields Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Phillips B. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Bitemo P. ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, Phillips B. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
64', 4 - 0, Iwunze H. ⚽,
69', 5 - 0, Phillips B. ⚽,
82', 6 - 0, Skinner A. ⚽,
90+2', (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hereford won 3.
Hereford is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
South Shields has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
South Shields could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hereford won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Hereford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
Outrights of English National League North for now
South Shields: 19.43% Hereford: 11.21%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Hereford
10
7
2
1
22:5
17
23
4
South Shields
10
6
2
2
15:13
2
20
Last Results with these Odds
South Shields - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 43.5%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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