The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oxford City 38.9%
Draw 24.9%
South Shields 36.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.7%
24.4%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
23.1%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
South Shields has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Oxford City - South Shields Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion - National League and 3rd in the Promotion - National League North Playoffs - Semi - finals).
Oxford City is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
South Shields has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, South Shields has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Oxford City has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:12 (averaging 1.3:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Oxford City against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:7 goals (averaging 1:3.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Oxford City
13
8
3
2
25:8
17
27
3
South Shields
13
8
2
3
22:18
4
26
Last Results with these Odds
Oxford City - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.72%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
South Shields - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.89%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.