Match Info

Date: 16 January 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Macedo de Cavaleiros		Vila Real

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Macedo de Cavaleiros
19.3%

Draw
28%

Vila Real
52.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.4%

28.9%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

20.8%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macedo de Cavaleiros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Vila Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macedo de Cavaleiros than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vila Real could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Macedo de Cavaleiros has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vila Real is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Macedo de Cavaleiros could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vila Real is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Macedo de Cavaleiros won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Macedo de Cavaleiros
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.01.22	Amarante - Macedo de Cavaleiros	5:1 ✺
19.12.21	Macedo de Cavaleiros - Mirandela	0:1 ✺
12.12.21	Macedo de Cavaleiros - Paredes	0:2 ✺
05.12.21	Vila Meã - Macedo de Cavaleiros	2:0 ✺
28.11.21	Macedo de Cavaleiros - São Martinho	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SC Vila Real
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.01.22	Berço - Vila Real	2:1 ✺
19.12.21	Vila Real - Amarante	2:2 ✺
12.12.21	Vila Real - Mirandela	4:2 ✺
05.12.21	Paredes - Vila Real	2:0 ✺
28.11.21	Vila Real - Vila Meã	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWLL

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.10.21	Vila Real - Macedo de Cavaleiros	2:0

Macedo de Cavaleiros - Vila Real