Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Complexo Desportivo Do Monte Forca (Vila Real)


	Vila Real		Vila Meã

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.92
	2.3	3	2.9
	6.04	4.16	1.47	Watch
	2.3	2.8	2.9
	2.31	3.04	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.78)	3.2 ↑ (2.98)	2.63 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Real
32.1%

Draw
30.6%

Vila Meã
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

30.3%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

29.2%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Vila Meã have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Meã than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Vila Real - Vila Meã Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
74', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Vila Real has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vila Meã's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vila Real won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Vila Real won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Vila Real
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.04.26	Vila Real - Rebordosa	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Aparecida - Vila Real	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Vila Real - Resende	0:3 ✺
08.03.26	Salgueiros 08 - Vila Real	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Vila Real - Beira-Mar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLLTW
- AC Vila Meã
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.04.26	Gouveia - Vila Meã	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Vila Meã - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	União Lamas - Vila Meã	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Vila Meã - Aparecida	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Alpendorada - Vila Meã	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.02.26	Vila Meã - Vila Real	1:1
13.02.22	Vila Meã - Vila Real	4:2
28.11.21	Vila Real - Vila Meã	0:3

Vila Real - Vila Meã: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide