Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 22

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Paredes		Vila Real

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.4	10
	1.46	3.7	7
	1.46	3.69	7.62
	1.35	4.04	8.95
	1.46	3.7	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.62)	3.91 ↑ (3.5)	8.11 ↑ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paredes
65.3%

Draw
23.4%

Vila Real
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

25.7%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paredes's performance.

Vila Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vila Real might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paredes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vila Real could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paredes - Vila Real Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 0, Soares A. ⚽,
85', Takyi F. 🟥,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 7).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Paredes is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paredes won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Paredes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Paredes
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.03.25	Joane - Paredes	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Paredes - Bragança	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Paredes	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Paredes - Rebordosa	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Os Sandinenses - Paredes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWLLW
- SC Vila Real
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.03.25	Vila Real - Limianos	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Dumiense - Vila Real	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Vila Real - Atlético dos Arcos	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Tirsense - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Vila Real - Pevidem	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.11.24	Vila Real - Paredes	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.02.22	Vila Real - Paredes	0:1
05.12.21	Paredes - Vila Real	2:0
14.03.21	Paredes - Vila Real	1:0
20.01.21	Vila Real - Paredes	2:1

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