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Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, September 02, 2026)

Match Info

J1 League - Round 5

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Machida Zelvia		Kawasaki Frontale

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2.00	3.50	3.40
	2.05	3.35	3.35	Watch
	2.13	3.7	3.57
	1.97	3.65	3.69	Watch
	2.06	3.6	3.5
	2.06	3.35	3.73	Watch
	2.07	3.45	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.73)	3.5 ↓ (3.65)	3.54 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
46.1%

Draw
27.1%

Kawasaki Frontale
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

25.2%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Machida Zelvia's form might have worsened.

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kawasaki Frontale's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tani K. (C) 3. Shoji G. 50. Okamura D. 4. Kikuchi R. 6. Mochizuki H. 16. Mae H. 18. Shimoda H. 33. Akimoto T. 20. Nishimura T. 7. Soma Y. 99. Yengi T.	49. Brodersen S. (G) 29. Yamahara R. 4. Pedro Romano 3. Taniguchi H. 13. Miura S. 8. Tachibanada K. 6. Yamamoto Y. 17. Ito T. 14. Wakizaka Y. (C) 23. Marcinho 97. Derik Lacerda
Substitutes
5. Dresevic I. 15. Duke M. 31. Lavi N. 14. Matsuo Y. 13. Morita T. (G) 88. Nakamura H. 9. Ogawa K. 8. Sento K. 23. Shirasaki R.	19. Kawahara S. 18. Konno K. 28. Maruyama Y. 20. Mochiyama K. 16. Ozeki Y. 5. Sasaki A. 1. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 22. Uremovic F. 25. Yamaichi S.
Coaches
Kuroda G.	Hasebe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Wakizaka Y. ⚽, Miura S. (A),
60', Yengi T. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
64', Derik Lacerda ↓, Mochiyama K. ↑,
64', Marcinho ↓, Sasaki A. ↑,
66', Nishimura T. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
66', Shimoda H. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
66', Kikuchi R. ↓, Nakamura H. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Ogawa K. ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
78', Ito T. ↓, Konno K. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Ogawa K. ⚽, Nakamura H. (A),
88', Tachibanada K. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
88', Yamahara R. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
88', Lavi N. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 1.

Machida Zelvia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kawasaki is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Machida Zelvia is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Kawasaki: Ienaga A. (Calf Injury) Kobayashi Y. (Calf Injury) Miyagi T. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

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Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kawasaki Frontale: 4.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Machida	4	3	1	0	13:3	10	10
7	Kawasaki Frontale	4	1	3	0	8:6	2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Machida Zelvia - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.16%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
29.08.26	Mito HollyHock - Machida Zelvia	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Machida Zelvia - Grulla Morioka	3:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
23.08.26	Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	JEF United Chiba - Machida Zelvia	0:4 ✺
08.08.26	Tokyo - Machida Zelvia	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWWW
- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
29.08.26	Kawasaki Frontale - JEF United Chiba	4:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Tochigi	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Kyoto Sanga	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
17.05.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia	2:1 penalties
28.03.26	Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1 penalties
31.08.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia	5:3
06.04.25	Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale	2:2
05.10.24	Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale	1:4
07.04.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia	0:1

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