Match Info

AFRICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 4

Date: 11 June 2024, Tuesday

Location: FNB Stadium (Johannesburg)

Referee: Mebiame P. T. (Gab)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Madagascar		Mali

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.3	1.7	Watch
	5.25	3.4	1.68
	5	3.5	1.7
	5.82	3.4	1.74
	5.81	3.2	1.72
	5.5	3.4	1.65	Watch
	5.5	3.44	1.73	Watch
	5.6	3.55	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.53 ↑ (3.91)	3.4 ↑ (3.33)	1.69 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madagascar
17%

Draw
27.6%

Mali
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

27.5%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madagascar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Madagascar's form might have worsened.

Mali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mali's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.8%	7.7%	88.5%

Madagascar - Mali Predictions

Users Predictions: Mali will win (46 of 52 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 97.14%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Laiton S. (G) Auxerre 12. Rabemananjara R. 20. Demoleon L. Budoni Calcio 21. Fontaine T. Sochaux 3. Fortun T. S. 7. Raveloson R. Auxerre 15. Amada I. (C) Ratchaburi 14. Couturier C. Hesperange 19. Randrianarijaona T. M. 2. Andria Ohod 10. Lapoussin L. Royale Union SG	16. Diarra D. (C) Young Africans 13. Diakite S. Palermo 12. Camara M. Monaco 5. Sagnan M. Montpellier 21. Guindo D. Salzburg 11. Coulibaly L. Salernitana 23. Dieng A. Al Ahly 15. Fofana M. Amiens SC 20. Sinayoko L. Auxerre 9. Toure E. B. Atalanta 10. Doumbia K. Brest
Substitutes
5. Andriamanjato Rojo 11. Andrianantenaina A. 9. Andriantiana N. Aubagne FC 1. Gardies T. (G) Paris FC 6. Manoelantsoa A. Saint-Denis 22. Millimono T. Mondorf 4. Pontgerard J. 16. Rakotoasimbola Z. (G) 17. Rakotondrajoa A. 8. Randrianantenaina A. El Gouna 13. Randriantsiferana T. 18. Tremoulet S. RFC Seraing	2. Camara M. H. Milsami 3. Dante A. Zurich 19. Diambou M. Salzburg 4. Haidara A. RB Leipzig 7. Nene D. Salzburg 6. Niakate S. Braga 18. Niakate Y. Bani Yas 1. Samassa M. (G) Laval 8. Samassekou D. Cadiz 17. Sylla M. Pau 14. Traore A. Hull City 22. Traore N. (G)
Coaches
Rakotondrabe R. F.	Chelle E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Demoleon L. 🟥,
39', Amada I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Fofana M. 🟨,
69', Lapoussin L. ↓, Randriantsiferana T. ↑,
69', Andria ↓, Andrianantenaina A. ↑,
71', Dieng A. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
71', Doumbia K. ↓, Nene D. ↑,
83', Fortun T. S. ↓, Millimono T. ↑,
88', Diakite S. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
90', Sinayoko L. ↓, Niakate Y. ↑,
90+4', Randrianarijaona T. M. ↓, Randrianantenaina A. ↑,
90+8', Laiton S. 🟨,

Preview

In this match Mali is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madagascar
FIFA World Cup
07.06.24	Madagascar - Comoros	2:1 ✺
Friendly
25.03.24	Madagascar - Rwanda	0:2 ✺
22.03.24	Madagascar - Burundi	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
20.11.23	Chad - Madagascar	0:3 ✺
17.11.23	Ghana - Madagascar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL
- Mali
FIFA World Cup
06.06.24	Mali - Ghana	1:2 ✺
Friendly
26.03.24	Mali - Nigeria	2:0 ✺
22.03.24	Mauritania - Mali	0:2 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
03.02.24	Mali - Ivory Coast	1:2 ET ✺
30.01.24	Mali - Burkina Faso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWLW

Madagascar - Mali: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide