Match Info

AFRICA: AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Paix (Bouaké)

Referee: Adel M. (Egy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Cameroon	CRTV
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay


	Mali		Ivory Coast

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.88	2.45	Watch
	3.25	2.87	2.37
	3.35	2.88	2.48	Watch
	3.45	2.82	2.44
	3.52	2.78	2.57
	3.3	2.97	2.43	Watch
	3.35	2.9	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (3.6)	2.87 ↓ (3)	2.45 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mali
28.1%

Draw
33.1%

Ivory Coast
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

32.2%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

31.5%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Ivory Coast has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mali than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivory Coast than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5%	60%	35%

Mali - Ivory Coast Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Mali will win (votes: 1 - 5%). Ivory Coast will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Diarra D. (G) 2. Traore H. (C) 5. Kouyate K. 6. Niakate S. 17. Sacko F. 11. Coulibaly L. 8. Samassekou D. 4. Haidara A. 26. Doumbia K. 25. Sinayoko L. 21. Traore A.	1. Fofana Y. (G) 17. Aurier S. (C) 7. Kossounou O. 21. Ndicka E. 3. Konan G. 4. Seri J. M. 8. Kessie F. 19. Pepe N. 6. Fofana S. 15. Gradel M. 20. Kouame C.
Substitutes
10. Bissouma Y. 19. Diabate F. 13. Diarra M. 1. Diawara I. (G) 23. Dieng A. 7. Doumbia M. 15. Fofana M. 20. Koita S. 27. Nene D. 18. Niakate Y. 9. Sissoko I. 24. Traore B.	24. Adingra S. 27. Amani L. 9. Bamba J. 13. Boga J. 12. Boly W. 14. Diakite O. 26. Diallo I. 22. Haller S. 10. Konate K. 23. Sangare B. A. (G) 18. Sangare I. 5. Singo W.
Coaches
Chelle E.	Fae E.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mali won 1.

Mali is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ivory Coast is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mali could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ivory Coast will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mali won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mali
Africa Cup of Nations
30.01.24	Mali - Burkina Faso	2:1 ✺
24.01.24	Namibia - Mali	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Tunisia - Mali	1:1 ✺
16.01.24	Mali - South Africa	2:0 ✺
Friendly
06.01.24	Mali - Guinea Bissau	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTTWW
- Ivory Coast
Africa Cup of Nations
29.01.24	Senegal - Ivory Coast	1:2 penalties ✺
22.01.24	Equatorial Guinea - Ivory Coast	4:0 ✺
18.01.24	Ivory Coast - Nigeria	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Ivory Coast - Guinea Bissau	2:0 ✺
Friendly
06.01.24	Ivory Coast - Sierra Leone	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
12.09.23	Ivory Coast - Mali	0:0
Africa Cup of Nations
08.07.19	Mali - Ivory Coast	0:1
FIFA World Cup
06.10.17	Mali - Ivory Coast	0:0
08.10.16	Ivory Coast - Mali	3:1
African Nations Championship
04.02.16	Mali - Ivory Coast	1:0
Africa Cup of Nations
24.01.15	Ivory Coast - Mali	1:1
08.02.12	Mali - Ivory Coast	N/A

Mali - Ivory Coast: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide