Match Info

Super League - Round 24

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium (Pamekasan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Madura United		Java United

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	1.95
	3	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.24	3.85	2.07
	3.13	3.91	2.02	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.05
	3.12	3.6	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (3.11)	3.58 ↓ (3.9)	2.02 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madura United
29.2%

Draw
25.6%

Java United
45.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.8%

23.8%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

22.6%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Java United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Java United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Madura United - Java United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Madura United will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Java United will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Java United: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Saputra M. (G) 2. Sasongko N. 95. Mendonca 6. Ruxi 45. Hidayat T. 4. Wehrmann J. 5. Palic K. 10. Iran Junior 11. Lulinha (C) 19. Riquelme 25. Afrisal R.	94. Alan (G) 27. Tahar S. 4. Gustavo (C) 2. Nilson Junior 23. Sayuri Y. 10. Tyronne 68. Setiawan T. 8. Cardoso L. 12. Sayuri Y. 17. da Silva D. 21. Butuan F.
Substitutes
77. Alesandro F. 21. Diky M. (G) 23. Emerson Souza 36. Ilhamsyah 99. Kusuma A. 24. Muslihuddin T. 7. Nufiandani A. 15. Numberi G. 44. Nurdiansyah 68. Rusadi A. 17. Sitanggang P. 37. Wehrmann J.	29. David S. 9. Drajad M. 32. Lauhin R. 96. Lestaluhu A. 69. Lestusen M. 22. Ridwan M. (G) 19. Rustam T. 1. Saputro A. (G) 56. Syuhada R. 46. Wahyu F.
Coaches
Biasi Parreira C. E.	Susilo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Gustavo 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, da Silva D. ⚽, Tyronne (A),
34', da Silva D. 🟨,
41', Mendonca 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Setiawan T. ↓, Lestusen M. ↑,
46', Afrisal R. ↓, Alesandro F. ↑,
46', Iran Junior ↓, Emerson Souza ↑,
47', Sayuri Y. 🟨,
58', 0 - 2, da Silva D. ⚽, Butuan F. (A),
66', Riquelme ↓, Kusuma A. ↑,
70', Alan ↓, Ridwan M. ↑,
77', Hidayat T. ↓, Numberi G. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Lulinha ⚽, Alesandro F. (A),
82', Tyronne ↓, Lauhin R. ↑,
82', Sayuri Y. ↓, Rustam T. ↑,
82', Tahar S. ↓, Lestaluhu A. ↑,
84', Sasongko N. ↓, Nurdiansyah ↑,
90+4', Mendonca ↓, Rusadi A. ↑,
90+9', da Silva D. ↓, Syuhada R. ↑,
90+11', Ridwan M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League (Qualification: )).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Malut United might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Madura United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Madura United	5	3	1	1	10:7	3	10
10	Java United	6	2	2	2	9:9	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madura United
Indonesian Super League
26.02.26	Persib Bandung - Madura United	5:0 ✺
21.02.26	Madura United - Arema	2:2 ✺
13.02.26	Persis Solo - Madura United	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Persijap Jepara - Madura United	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Madura United - PSBS Biak Numfor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTLT
- Java United
Indonesian Super League
24.02.26	Java United - Persija Jakarta	2:3 ✺
20.02.26	Semen Padang - Java United	2:2 ✺
13.02.26	Java United - Persijap Jepara	4:0 ✺
06.02.26	Persib Bandung - Java United	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Java United - Bhayangkara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
19.09.25	Java United - Madura United	4:1
10.01.25	Java United - Madura United	0:1
10.08.24	Madura United - Java United	1:1

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